Economic history of the United Arab Emirates - Biblioteka.sk

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Economic history of the United Arab Emirates
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Economy of the United Arab Emirates
Dubai, the financial center of the United Arab Emirates
CurrencyEmirati dirham (AED, د.إ)
US$1 = 3.6725 AED
Calendar year
Trade organisations
OPEC, WTO, GCC, BRICS
Country group
Statistics
PopulationNeutral increase 9,441,129 (2022)[4]
GDP
GDP rank
GDP growth
  • Increase 7.85% (2022)[1]
  • Decrease 3.40% (2023e)[1]
  • Increase 3.52% (2024f)[1]
GDP per capita
  • Increase $53,916 (nominal; 2024 est.)[1]
  • Increase $96,846 (PPP; 2024 est.)[1]
GDP per capita rank
GDP by sector
Positive decrease 1.62% (2023 est.)[1]
Population below poverty line
N/A
26.0 low (2018)[6]
Labour force
  • Increase 6,668,172 (2023)[8]
  • 78.3% employment rate (2019)[9]
  • expatriates account for about 85% of the workforce[5]
Labour force by occupation
UnemploymentNegative increase 3.36% (2021)[10]
Main industries
External
ExportsIncrease $306.41 billion (2020 est.)[5]
Export goods
Crude oil, refined petroleum, gold, reexports, telecommunications equipment, diamonds, petroleum gas, jewellery, aluminium (2021)[11]
Main export partners
ImportsIncrease $229.2 billion (2017 est.)[5]
Import goods
Gold, food, machinery, transport vehicles and parts, refined petroleum, natural gas, diamonds, jewellery, refined copper (2021)[11]
Main import partners
FDI stock
  • Decrease $129.9 billion (2017 est.)[5]
  • Increase Abroad: $124.4 billion (2017 est.)[5]
Increase $26.47 billion (2017 est.)[5]
Negative increase $237.6 billion (2017 est.)[5]
Public finances
Positive decrease 38.33% of GDP (2020 est.)[5]
−0.2% (of GDP) (2017 est.)[5]
Revenues15.79 billion (2021 est.)[5]
Expenses16.6 billion (2021 est.)[5][note 1]
Standard & Poor's: AA[13]
Outlook: Stable
Moody's: Aa2
Outlook: Stable
Fitch: AA
Outlook: Stable
Increase $95.37 billion (2017 est.)[5]
All values, unless otherwise stated, are in US dollars.


The United Arab Emirates is a high-income developing market economy. The UAE's economy is the 4th largest in the Middle East (after Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Israel), with a gross domestic product (GDP) of US$415 billion (AED 1.83 trillion) in 2021-2023.[1]

The UAE economy is heavily reliant on revenues from petroleum and natural gas, especially in Abu Dhabi. In 2009, more than 85% of the UAE's economy was based on the oil exports.[14][15] In 2011, oil exports accounted for 77% of the UAE's state budget.[16] In recent years, there has been some economic diversification,[17] particularly in Dubai.[clarification needed] Abu Dhabi and other UAE emirates have remained relatively conservative in their approach to diversification. Dubai has far smaller oil reserves than its counterparts.[18]

Tourism is one of the biggest non-oil sources of revenue in the UAE. A massive construction boom, an expanding manufacturing base, and a thriving services sector are helping the country to diversify its economy. Nationwide, there is currently US$350 billion worth of active construction projects.[19]

The UAE is a member of the World Trade Organization and OPEC.

Economic overview

UAE has the second-largest economy in the Arab world (after Saudi Arabia),[20] with a gross domestic product (GDP) of US$414 billion (AED 1.52 trillion) in 2018.[21] A third of the GDP is from oil revenues.[20] The economy was expected to grow 4–4.5% in 2013, compared to 2.3–3.5% over the previous five years. Since independence in 1971, UAE's economy has grown by nearly 231 times to AED1.45 trillion in 2013. The non-oil trade has grown to AED1.2 trillion, a growth of around 28 times from 1981 to 2012.[20]

The UAE's economy is one of the most open worldwide, and its economic history goes back to the times when ships sailed to India, along the Swahili coast, as far south as Mozambique.[22]

International Monetary Fund (IMF) expected UAE's economic growth to increase to 4.5% in 2015, compared to 4.3% in 2014. The IMF ascribed UAE's potentially strong economic growth in World Economic Outlook Report to the increased contribution of non-petroleum sectors, which registered a growth average of more than 6% in 2014 and 2015. Such contribution includes banking, tourism, commerce and real estate. Increase of Emirati purchasing power and governmental expenditures in infrastructure projects have considerably increased.

Internationally, UAE is ranked among the top 20 for global service business, according to AT Kearney, the top 30 on the WEF "most-networked countries" and in the top quarter as a least corrupt country per the TI's corruption index.[23]

The government of the United Arab Emirates announced a broad restructuring and merger of more than 50% of its federal agencies, including ministries and departments, in an attempt to deal with and recover from the economic shocks following months-long coronavirus lockdown.[24]

Historical background

Before independence from the United Kingdom and unification in 1971, each emirate was responsible for its own economy. At the time, pearl diving, seafaring and fishing were together the mainstay of the economy, until the development of Japanese cultured pearls and the discovery of commercial quantities of oil.[25] Previous UAE President Zayed Bin Sultan Al Nahyan is credited with bringing the country forward into the 20th century and using the revenue from oil exports to fund all the necessary development. Likewise, former UAE vice-president Rashid bin Saeed Al Maktoum had a bold vision for the Emirate of Dubai and foresaw the future in not petroleum alone, but also other industries.[26]

In the 1980s Dubai's diversification centred around trade and the creation of shipping and logistics centres, notably Port Rashid and the port and Free Zone of Jebel Ali as well as Dubai International Airport,[27] leading to a number of major global plays in shipping, transportation and logistics (DP World, Emirates, DNATA).

Recent history

The emergence of Dubai's lively real estate market was briefly checked by the global financial crisis of 2007–8, when Dubai was bailed out by Abu Dhabi.[28] The recovery from the overheated market led to tighter regulation and oversight and a more realistic market for real estate throughout the UAE with many 'on hold' projects restarting. Although the market continues to expand, current market conditions for developers have been characterised as 'tough'.[29]

As a result of COVID-19 pandemic, the UAE’s economy shrank by 6.1% in 2020.[30]  The country’s account balance dropped to six per cent of GDP in 2020 from 8.5 per cent in 2019 due to the underperformance of both hydrocarbon and non-hydrocarbon exports mitigated by lower imports.[31]

In late 2021, the authority announced that UAE’s banking assets are expected to grow by between 8 per cent and 10 per cent in 2022 as the second-biggest Arab economy continues to recover from the covid-19 pandemic.[32] It was also announced the UAE’s economy might grow at a faster than projected rate, reaching 4.6% in 2022.[33]

Data

The following table shows the main economic indicators in 1980–2024 (with IMF estimates between 2022-2028).[34]

Zdroj:https://en.wikipedia.org?pojem=Economic_history_of_the_United_Arab_Emirates
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Year GDP

(Bil. US$ nomina)

GDP per capita

(US$ nominal)

GDP

(Bil. US$, PPP)

GDP per capita

(US$, PPP)

GDP growth

(real)

Inflation rate Government debt

(% of GDP)

1980 41.7 41,312 89.3 88,437 -1.8% 10.1% n/a
1985 Decrease38.5 Decrease27,913 Increase111.5 Decrease80,817 Decrease-2.5% Positive decrease3.5% n/a
1990 Increase50.7 Decrease27,485 Increase154.1 Increase83,542 Increase23.6% Positive decrease0.6% n/a
1995 Increase63.4 Decrease26,309 Increase210.5 Increase87,310 Decrease6.6% Negative increase4.3% n/a
2000 Increase103.0 Increase34,386 Increase307.9 Increase102,795 Increase12.3% Positive decrease1.3% 3.1%
2005 Increase180.6 Increase43,984 Increase448.3 Increase109,162 Decrease4.9% Negative increase6.2% Negative increase4.5%
2006 Increase222.1 Increase44,314 Increase507.5 Decrease101,258 Increase9.8% Negative increase9.3% Negative increase5.1%
2007 Increase257.9 Decrease41,467 Increase537.9 Decrease86,492 Decrease3.2% Negative increase11.1% Negative increase8.9%
2008 Increase315.5 Decrease39,073 Increase565.8 Decrease70,075 Steady3.2% Negative increase12.3% Steady8.9%
2009 Decrease253.5 Decrease30,920 Decrease539.4 Decrease65,781 Decrease-5.2% Positive decrease-4.7% Negative increase21.1%
2010 Increase300.2 Increase36,325 Increase574.8 Increase69,555 Increase5.3% Negative increase0.9% Positive decrease18.8%
2011 Increase360.8 Increase42,987 Increase623.1 Increase74,235 Increase6.2% Steady0.9% Negative increase20.9%
2012 Increase384.6 Increase45,108 Increase648.6 Increase76,070 Decrease1.8% Positive decrease0.7% Positive decrease20.7%
2013 Increase400.2 Increase46,207 Increase664.1 Increase76,671 Increase5.1% Negative increase1.1% Positive decrease15.6%
2014 Increase414.1 Increase47,064 Increase696.8 Increase79,192 Decrease4.2% Negative increase2.3% Positive decrease13.8%
2015 Decrease370.3 Decrease41,423 Decrease621.6 Decrease69,534 Increase6.8% Negative increase4.1% Negative increase16.1%
2016 Decrease369.3 Decrease40,483 Decrease619.3 Decrease67,896 Decrease5.6% Positive decrease1.6% Negative increase19.3%
2017 Increase390.5 Increase41,972 Increase645.5 Increase69,377 Decrease0.7% Negative increase2.0% Negative increase21.9%
2018 Increase427.0 Increase45,592 Increase669.0 Increase71,419 Increase1.3% Negative increase3.1% Positive decrease21.3%
2019 Decrease418.0 Decrease43,982 Increase687.7 Increase72,365 Decrease1.1% Positive decrease-1.9% Negative increase26.8%
2020 Decrease349.5 Decrease37,649 Decrease662.3 Decrease71,347 Decrease-5.0% Positive decrease-2.1% Negative increase41.1%
2021 Increase415.2 Increase43,439 Increase722.8 Increase75,624 Increase4.4% Negative increase-0.1% Positive decrease35.9%
2022 Increase507.1 Increase52,625 Increase834.4 Increase86,601 Increase7.9% Negative increase4.8% Positive decrease31.1%
2023e Decrease504.2 Decrease51,909 Increase894.3 Increase92,074 Decrease3.4% Positive decrease1.6% Positive decrease30.9%
2024e Increase527.8 Increase53,916 Increase948.0 Increase96,846 Increase3.5% Negative increase2.1% Positive decrease30.3%
2025f Increase550.2 Increase55,781 Increase1005.0 Increase101,885 Increase4.2% 2.0%