2022 United States House of Representatives election ratings - Biblioteka.sk

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2022 United States House of Representatives election ratings
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2022 United States House of Representatives election ratings

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The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections were held November 8, 2022, to elect representatives from all 435 congressional districts across each of the 50 U.S. states. Five of the six non-voting delegates from the District of Columbia and the inhabited U.S. territories were also elected (Puerto Rico's delegate, the Resident Commissioner, serves four year terms and was last elected in 2020). Numerous federal, state, and local elections, including the 2022 U.S. Senate elections, were also held on this date.

Election ratings

Latest published ratings for competitive seats

Several sites and individuals publish ratings of competitive seats. The seats listed below are considered competitive (not "safe" or "solid") by at least one of the rating groups. These ratings are based upon factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan history of the district (the Cook Partisan Voting Index (CPVI) is one example of this metric). Each rating describes the likelihood of a given outcome in the election.

Most election ratings use:

  • Tossup: no advantage
  • Tilt (sometimes used): very slight advantage
  • Lean: significant, but not overwhelming advantage
  • Likely: strong, but not certain advantage
  • Safe or Solid: outcome is nearly certain
District CPVI
[1]
Incumbent Last result[2] Cook
Nov 7,
2022
[3]
IE
Nov 3,
2022
[4]
Sabato
Nov 7,
2022
[5]
Politico
Oct 27,
2022
[6]
RCP
Nov 6,
2022
[7]
Fox
Oct 21,
2022
[8]
DDHQ
Oct 27,
2022
[9]
538[a][b]
Nov 8,
2022
[10]
Econ.[c][d]
Nov 4,
2022
[11]
Winner[12]
Alaska at-large R+8 Mary Peltola 51.5% D Lean D Lean D Lean D Lean D Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean D Mary Peltola (D)
Arizona 1 R+2 David Schweikert 52.2% R Tossup Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R Solid R Lean R David Schweikert (R)
Arizona 2 R+6 Tom O'Halleran 51.6% D Lean R (flip) Lean R (flip) Lean R (flip) Lean R (flip) Likely R (flip) Lean R (flip) Lean R (flip) Lean R (flip) Lean R (flip) Eli Crane (R)
Arizona 4 D+2 Greg Stanton 61.6% D Likely D Likely D Lean D Lean D Tossup Tossup Likely D Likely D Likely D Greg Stanton (D)
Arizona 6 R+3 Ann Kirkpatrick
(retiring)
55.1% D Lean R (flip) Tilt R (flip) Lean R (flip) Lean R (flip) Lean R (flip) Lean R (flip) Likely R (flip) Likely R (flip) Lean R (flip) Juan Ciscomani (R)
California 3 R+4 New seat Likely R Likely R Likely R Lean R Likely R Likely R Likely R Solid R Likely R Kevin Kiley (R)
California 6 D+7 Ami Bera 56.6% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Solid D Likely D Solid D Solid D Solid D Likely D Ami Bera (D)
California 9 D+5 Josh Harder 55.2% D Lean D Likely D Lean D Lean D Tossup Lean D Likely D Likely D Likely D Josh Harder (D)
California 13 D+4 New seat Tossup Tossup Lean R (flip) Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean D Lean D John Duarte (R)
California 21 D+9 Jim Costa 59.4% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Solid D Likely D Solid D Solid D Solid D Likely D Jim Costa (D)
California 22 D+5 David Valadao 50.4% R Tossup Tossup Lean R Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean R Lean R Tossup David Valadao (R)
California 23 R+8 Jay Obernolte 56.1% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Likely R Safe R Solid R Solid R Solid R Safe R Jay Obernolte (R)
California 25 D+6 Raul Ruiz 60.3% D Solid D Solid D Likely D Likely D Lean D Likely D Solid D Solid D Likely D Raul Ruiz (D)
California 26 D+8 Julia Brownley 60.6% D Lean D Likely D Likely D Likely D Lean D Likely D Likely D Solid D Likely D Julia Brownley (D)
California 27 D+4 Mike Garcia 50.0% R Tossup Tilt R Lean R Lean R Lean R Tossup Tossup Lean R Lean D (flip) Mike Garcia (R)
California 40 R+2 Young Kim 50.6% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Solid R Likely R Solid R Likely R Young Kim (R)
California 41 R+3 Ken Calvert 57.1% R Zdroj:https://en.wikipedia.org?pojem=2022_United_States_House_of_Representatives_election_ratings
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Podrobnejšie informácie nájdete na stránke Podmienky použitia.

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