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 Results by county
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The 2016 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses took place on February 1 in the U.S. state of Iowa, traditionally marking the Republican Party's first nominating contest in their series of presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.
The Democratic Party held its own Iowa caucuses on the same day.
Ted Cruz was able to defeat Donald Trump in the Iowa Caucus by winning over Evangelical caucus-goers;[1] Cruz won 51,666 caucus votes or 27.6%, giving him a net gain of one delegate over Trump. Cruz visited all 99 counties of Iowa and held small events.[2] Cruz outperformed his polling average, which predicted a narrow Trump victory in the caucus.
Following poor performances in the caucuses, Rand Paul,[3] Mike Huckabee[4] and Rick Santorum[5] suspended their campaigns.
Procedure
According to the Republican Party of Iowa's bylaws, if more than one candidate is nominated at the Republican National Convention, all of Iowa's delegates are bound to vote "proportionally in accordance with the outcome of the Iowa Caucuses" on the first ballot, even if the candidate has withdrawn from the race.[6] The ballot is a blank piece of paper, and the candidates that voters may vote for in the non-binding preference poll included the following:
Forums and debates
November 20, 2015 – Des Moines, Iowa The Presidential Family Forum was held in the Community Choice Credit Union Convention Center in Des Moines, Iowa. Ben Carson, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Mike Huckabee, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, and Rick Santorum attended the forum hosted by evangelical Christian advocacy group The Family Leader. It was hosted by politician and political activist Bob Vander Plaats and moderated by political consultant and pollster Frank Luntz.[7] Protesters interrupted the beginning of the event and were removed by police.[8]
January 28, 2016 – Des Moines, Iowa The seventh debate was the second debate to air on Fox News. As in Fox's first debate, the moderators were Bret Baier, Megyn Kelly, and Chris Wallace.[9] This was the last debate before actual voting began with the Iowa caucuses on February 1, 2016.[10][11] Due to personality conflicts with Fox News, Donald Trump opted out of the debate.[12]
Endorsements
- Former executive branch officials
- U.S. Representatives
- Greg Ganske, IA-04 (1995–2003)[14]
- State Senators
- Charles Schneider, state senator from the District 22 (2013–present)[15]
- State Representatives
- Ron Jorgensen, state representative from the District 6 (2011–present)[16]
- Greg Forristall, state representative from the District 22 (2007–present)[17]
- Zach Nunn, state representative from the District 30 (2015–present)[18]
- Renee Schulte, Former state representative from the District 37 (2008–2013)[19]
- Robert Bacon, state representative from the District 48 (2013–Present)[20]
- Ken Rizer, state representative from the District 68 (2015–present)[21]
- Dave Heaton, state representative from the District 91 (1995–Present)[22]
- Linda Miller, state representative from the District 94 (2007–Present)[23]
- State Representatives
- Rob Taylor, state representative from the District 44 (2013–present)[24]
- State Representatives
- Jake Highfill, state representative from the District 39 (2013–present)[25]
- Chip Baltimore, state representative from the District 47 (2011–present)[26]
- Dave Deyoe, state representative from the District 51 (2007–present)[27]
- Kraig Paulsen, state representative from the District 67 (2003–present)[28]
- Gary Carlson, state representative from the District 91 (2015–present)[29]
- U.S. Representatives
- Steve King, IA-04 (2003–2021)[30]
- State Senators
- Randy Feenstra, state senator from the 2nd district (2009–Present)[31]
- Bill Anderson, state senator from the 3rd district (2011–Present)[32]
- Dennis Guth, state senator from the 4th district (2013-Present)[33]
- Jason Schultz, state senator from the 9th district (2015–Present)[34]
- Jake Chapman, state senator from the 10th district (2013–Present)[35]
- Jerry Behn, state senator from the 24th district (1997–Present)[36]
- State Representatives
- Terry Baxter, state representative from the District 8 (2015–Present)[37]
- Steven Holt, state representative from the District 12 (2015–Present)[38]
- Ralph Watts, state representative from the District 19 (2003–Present)[39]
- Greg Heartsill, state representative from the District 28 (2013–Present)[40]
- Sandy Salmon, state representative from the District 63 (2013–Present)[41]
- Larry Sheets, state representative from the District 80 (2013–Present)[42]
- Notable individuals
- Bob Vander Plaats, political activist and president and CEO of The Family Leader[43]
- State Senators
- David Johnson, state senator from the 1st district (2003-Present)[44]
- State Representatives
- Mike May, state representative from the District 6 (2005–2011)[45]
- Mike Sexton, state representative from the District 7 (2015–present)[46]
- Clel Baudler, state representative from the District 20 (1999–present)[47]
- Josh Byrnes, state representative from the District 51 (2011–present)[48]
- Steven Olson, state representative from the District 83 (2003–present)[49]
- Ross Paustian, state representative from the District 92 (2015–present)[50]
- State Representatives
- Mary Ann Hanusa, state representative from the District 16 (2011–present)[51]
- David Sieck, state representative from the District 86 (2015–present)[52]
- State Representatives
- Tedd Gassman, state representative from the District 7 (2013–present)[53]
- State Senators
- Rick Bertrand, state senator from the 7th district (2011–present)[54]
- Tom Shipley, state senator from the 11th district(2015-Present)[55]
- Jack Whitver, state senator from the 19th district (2011–present)[56]
- Dan Zumbach, state senator from the 48th district (2013–present)[57]
- State Representatives
- Megan Jones, state representative from the District 6 (2013–Present)[58]
- John Wills, state representative from the District 10 (2015–Present)[59]
- Brian Best, state representative from the District 11 (2015–Present)[60]
- Bobby Kaufmann, state representative from the District 82 (2013–present)[61]
- Newspapers
- State Representatives
- Dean Fisher, state representative from the District 53 (2013-Present)[64]
- Walt Rogers, state representative from the District 60 (2011-Present)[65]
- State Senators
- Brad Zaun, state senator from the 20th district (2005-Present)[66]
Withdrawn candidates
- State Senators
- Tim Kapucian, state senator from the 38th district (2009-Present)[67]
- State Representatives
- Matt Windschitl, state representative from the District 17 (2007–present)[68]
- State Representatives
- Dawn Pettengill, state representative from the District 75 (2005-Present)[69]
- State Senators
- Mark Costello, state senator from the 8th district (2015-Present)[70]
- Jason Schultz, state senator from the 9th district (2015-Present)[71]
- Julian Garrett, state senator from the 11th district (2013-Present)[72]
- Amy Sinclair, state senator from the 14th district (2013-Present)[73]
- State Representatives
- John Landon, state representative from the District 37 (2013-Present)[74]
Polling
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll
aggregation |
Dates
administered |
Dates
updated |
Marco Rubio Republican |
Donald Trump Republican |
Ted Cruz Republican |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics | until February 1, 2016 | February 1, 2016 | 16.9% | 28.6% | 23.9% | Trump +4.7 |
| FiveThirtyEight | until February 1, 2016 | February 1, 2016 | 18.1% | 25.6% | 24.3% | Trump +1.3 |
| Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caucus results | February 1, 2016 | Ted Cruz 27.64% |
Donald Trump 24.30% |
Marco Rubio 23.12% |
Ben Carson 9.30%, Rand Paul 4.54%, Jeb Bush 2.80%, Carly Fiorina 1.86%, John Kasich 1.86%, Mike Huckabee 1.79%, Chris Christie 1.76%, Rick Santorum 0.95%, Jim Gilmore 0.01%, Other 0.06% |
| Emerson College[75]
Margin of error: ± 5.6%
|
January 29–31, 2016 | Donald Trump 27.3% |
Ted Cruz 25.6% |
Marco Rubio 21.6% |
Mike Huckabee 4.7%, Jeb Bush 3.8%, John Kasich 3.8%, Rand Paul 3.4%, Ben Carson 3.4%, Chris Christie 3.2%, Carly Fiorina 1.7%, Rick Santorum 0.5%, Undecided 1% |
| Quinnipiac University[76]
Margin of error: ± 3.3% Sample size: 890 |
January 25–31, 2016 | Donald Trump 31% |
Ted Cruz 24% |
Marco Rubio 17% |
Ben Carson 8%, Jeb Bush 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, John Kasich 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Not decided 3% |
| Opinion Savvy[77]
Margin of error: ± 3.2%
|
January 29–30, 2016 | Donald Trump 20.1% |
Ted Cruz 19.4% |
Marco Rubio 18.6% |
Ben Carson 9.0%, Rand Paul 8.6%, Jeb Bush 4.9%, Mike Huckabee 4.4%, John Kasich 4.0%, Carly Fiorina 3.8%, Chris Christie 3.0%, Rick Santorum 2.1%, Undecided 2.2% |
| Des Moines Register/ Bloomberg/Selzer[78] Margin of error: ± 3.5% Sample size: 602 |
January 26–29, 2016 | Donald Trump 28% |
Ted Cruz 23% |
Marco Rubio 15% |
Ben Carson 10%, Rand Paul 5%, Chris Christie 3%, Jeb Bush 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Carly Fiorina 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Jim Gimore 0%, Undecided 2%, Uncommitted 3% |
| Public Policy Polling[79]
Margin of error: ± 3.5% Sample size: 780 |
January 26–27, 2016 | Donald Trump 31% |
Ted Cruz 23% |
Marco Rubio 14% |
Ben Carson 9%, Jeb Bush 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, John Kasich 2%, Chris Christie 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gimore 1%, Undecided 2% |
| NBC/WSJ/Marist[80]
Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 415 |
January 24–26, 2016 | Donald Trump 32% |
Ted Cruz 25% |
Marco Rubio 18% Zdroj:https://en.wikipedia.org?pojem=2016_Iowa_Republican_presidential_caucuses Text je dostupný za podmienok Creative Commons Attribution/Share-Alike License 3.0 Unported; prípadne za ďalších podmienok. Podrobnejšie informácie nájdete na stránke Podmienky použitia.
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